We aren’t looking at any single digit temperatures this week, but several weather makers will make for an unsettled forecast.
The first is the cold front that brought the soaking rains. Those will begin tapering off as colder air slides in. The cold air is quickly catching up to the precipitation to our north and northwest, allowing the rain to changeover to a wintry mix.
That changeover will continue to slide east into north and western TN and parts of north MS.
The cold air will not be as pronounced here in the Tennessee Valley, but as temperatures fall close to the freezing mark, and just a little bit of moisture lingers, there is a brief window for the cold rain to changeover to some sleet and freezing rain.
The best chance for this to occur will be in NW Alabama and southern middle TN overnight and around daybreak Monday morning. No accumulation is expected and because the ground has been so warm the last few days, no travel problems are expected.
We’ll see a brief dry break on Monday afternoon but wet weather quickly enters the forecast again on Tuesday and again for the latter half of the week.
The storm system on Tuesday will be a bit stronger than this weekend’s system. Stout southerly winds (10-20mph) will bump afternoon temperatures into the upper 50s and low 60s. A few scattered showers will be possible during the afternoon hours.
Stronger storms will arrive later in the evening along a cold front. The timing will change a bit as we get closer to Tuesday, but it looks like some strong storms will be possible after sunset, first arriving in NW AL.
These will likely continue into the late night as they slide east across the region.
The severe weather threat is low with this system but some storms could be strong with heavy downpours and 40-50mph wind gusts.
Rain chances pick back up on Friday through next weekend. A cold front on Sunday will push the rain out and usher in colder temperatures. Some weather models are hinting at a little changeover to some snow during this time…However, it is just too far out in time to determine if the moisture will hold on long enough to support that idea and/or if any accumulations are possible. That is just a heads up to check back the forecast throughout the week as we tweak the details!
WAFF 48 Storm Team
We Track Storms