We'll be relatively quiet over the next few days with a gradual warming trend. A stray shower is possible Sunday, but most stay dry, with highs in the upper 50s. Southerly winds take temperatures into the mid and upper 60s for the work week.
The calm weather comes to an abrupt end mid week as a cold front brings widespread showers and thunderstorms.
There are still many questions with this system and the models are showing about 6-10 hour timing difference. Right now we are monitoring the potential for strong to severe storms late Tuesday into Wednesday. The Storm Prediction Center already has our area outlooked for severe weather.
In these types of winter setups, we are usually lacking in instability. Ideally, for severe weather, dewpoints would need to be in the mid 60s. Pinpoint Predictor is depicting a tongue of warm, moist air protruding into N AL by around midnight Wednesday morning. Right now, most of the models (with different timing)are showing dewpoints near 60° in the TN Valley and the mid 60s in central AL.
The main threat will be damaging winds as the line of storms rolls through. Again, Pinpoint Predictor is picking up on some decent wind gusts that are borderline severe.
This system will also bring very heavy rainfall...1-2 inches possible by Wednesday afternoon.
The passage of the front sometime on Wednesday will usher in cooler and drier air. Head over to WAFF.com for your 7-Day forecast.